It has become a great season reminiscent of the winter holiday season when millions get into the spirit. Only, millions of Americans now have visions of political victories and defeats dancing in their partisan heads. But it has become so serious that even Santa Claus could become an unwelcome guest depending on his own political leanings.The cold world of politics has become colder and more rancorous every day. Mother against daughter, father against son, lipstick against pig... McCain has ramped up his “Lie Machine” while his running mate Palin prepares to meet the press like students who cram for exams when they have not attended class all semester… Obama has loaded his quiver of arrows to shoot down all of the lies sent his way while Biden lays in wait for newcomer Palin, his deer in the headlights.
Several national polls tell a different story, but those stories should be disregarded. The real numbers have yet to be counted…
The polls cannot and do not account for the millions of voters added to the Democratic coffers... Democrats have added over 2 million new voters in 28 states that register voters by affiliation, while Republicans have lost 344,000 voters. That includes Ohio and Pennsylvania, two states that have recently voted out several Republicans in congress. These numbers include young voters who have never voted and are not accounted for in the national or state polling.
According to published reports Ohio alone has over 750,000 eligible voters between the ages of 18 and 22 who will vote for the first time; Colorado has 293,000; New Mexico 145,000; Virginia 465,000; Michigan 690,000 and Florida has over 1 million. Consider how mobilized Black and Latino voters have become. Their registrations have doubled in most states Kerry lost by a few thousand votes… Now you begin to see a new narrative.
Obama wins if he maintains his Democratic base that has been regularly polled while adding these new voters. Also note that these polls are not conducted with voters who can only be contacted by cell phone or who never answer their landline phones... Democrats.
This election is about change in many respects, but not only about political change. It is also about the change in social and cultural demographics of our society. It is also about the change in age demographics too. Those who were not voting age 4 years ago now have a vote. They have very little to do with the divisive politics of generations before them. Their world is shaped by their own reality, and they have rejected the world of Washington double talk and fear mongering that has dominated the country over the last 8 years. This new generation is more educated, and much more global than previous generations. They recognize their own power to enforce the changes they need and want.
Obama has become their change merchant. He represents their future, not fossil fuel McCain or Palin. While corporations attempt to fool the masses with their corporately generated poll questions, they have not questioned all of the eligible Democratic voters including the newly registered voters.
Earlier this month the BBC asked over 22,000 people in 22 nations who they prefer as President of the United States. They overwhelmingly selected Barack Obama, and yet Obama and McCain are tied in certain U.S. polls?
Don't count on it! Obama is way ahead. Ask your children.
G.M.
More reading on the subject of polls and cell phones:
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